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Tariffs Shifted. Your costs just went up. What now?

Tariffs

Shopify pricing

ABConvert insights

Apr 25, 2025

7 min. read

Jeffery

If you’re running a Shopify store right now, and you’re affected by the latest round of tariff increases—you have a tough call to make:

Do you raise prices and risk conversion?

Or absorb the cost and eat your margins?

There’s a better option:

You test.

This week alone, I spoke with four merchants who saw their COGS increase between 6% and 18% due to recent tariffs. Three of them were already running price tests. One wasn’t. Guess which one panicked?

I’ve Seen This Pattern Before

At ABConvert, we’ve powered over 7,000 pricing experiments in the last 6 months. Across verticals. Across price points. Across geographies.

Here’s what we know from our data:

Strategy TestedAvg. AOV ImpactStandard price lift (€3–€5)+7–11%Free shipping + price bump+15–20%Bundle vs. single unit+12–18%Psychological pricing ($49 vs $50)+2–5%

But here’s the most important insight:

The winning variant is rarely the one the merchant expects.

I say this as someone who’s personally reviewed dozens of test dashboards, case studies, and even the “loser” tests.

Gut feel is a great place to start.

But price is too important to leave to instinct alone.

Tariffs = The Perfect Trigger to Start Price Testing

When costs shift suddenly, you need to:

  1. Protect your margin
  2. Understand price sensitivity
  3. Make changes without guessing

Most merchants do one of three things:

  • Raise prices across the board (and hope CVR holds)
  • Freeze in indecision (and erode margin)
  • Change nothing (and bleed slowly)

Our most successful users? They run structured tests and adjust with confidence.

Real Story: €10K Extra Revenue Without More Traffic

Let me give you a concrete example.

One of our users—Smartwatchmagazijn.nl in the Netherlands—ran a simple A/B test:

  • Variant A: €79 + Standard Shipping
  • Variant B: €89 + Free Express Shipping

To offset tariff-driven costs, they needed to lift prices. But they didn’t want to guess.

So they tested.

🟢 Winner: Variant B

📈 Result: AOV increased, CVR held steady

💰 Revenue: +€10,000/month from one pricing change

They’ve since run over 500 experiments on ABConvert, and built testing into their weekly ops.

“We don’t just guess anymore. We ask the market. The data answers.” — Quoted from the Shopify merchant

That’s what testing gives you: certainty in uncertainty.

Want to Adapt Like They Did? Here’s Your Playbook

Here’s what I’d recommend—especially if you’re feeling the squeeze from rising COGS or tariffs:

✅ 1. Pick Your Top-Sellers

These get traffic. They give you answers faster. Test on SKUs that matter.

✅ 2. Run a Price Ladder Test

Try your current price vs. +€3, +€5, or +€10

(Optional: pair with value perks like shipping)

✅ 3. Isolate the Variable

Don’t test price and layout at the same time. You want clean attribution.

✅ 4. Let It Run for 3–5 Days

That’s the statistical sweet spot for most stores.

✅ 5. Apply Learnings

If higher prices win? Roll them out. If not? Try a bundle or test again next quarter.

Testing isn’t a one-time fix. It’s an insurance policy on every pricing decision you make.

The Tools Matter Too

What you shouldn’t do:

  • Clone products
  • Manually split traffic
  • Break your analytics

That’s why we built ABConvert the way we did:

  • Native Shopify integration
  • No product duplication
  • Clean test groups
  • Real order tracking
  • Works with any Shopify plan (including Basic)

And yes, it handles theme checks. One time per theme version. We even schedule these early in the week so you don’t get stuck on a weekend when support sleeps.

Final Thought

“Tariffs are temporary. The cost of guessing is forever.”

If your costs just went up, and you haven’t tested pricing yet—this is your moment.

Don’t make permanent decisions based on a gut check.

Your customers will tell you what’s worth paying.

You just have to ask them—in a controlled, measurable way.

And that’s what we do best at ABConvert.

Let’s turn pressure into profit.

👉 Start testing today →

If you’re an ABConvert customer already and want help designing a price test strategy, just contact me.

We’re here to help. Always.